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靠著強大的YouTube點擊率
Miley Cyrus的Wrecking Ball將成為她的第一支冠軍單曲
在Streaming的部份可能會大贏Roar一倍甚至更多
而銷售的部份Wrecking Ball預估會在40萬以上
而Roar大約落在34-36萬之間
雖然Roar在點播的部份勝出 但恐怕冠軍寶座還是要拱手讓出
不過Roar在本週也登上Pop Songs冠軍
打平Rihanna成為該榜21年來最多冠軍曲(10首)的歌手
前面七位清一色都是女性耶XD
10, Katy Perry
10, Rihanna
9, P!nk
7, Lady Gaga
7, Britney Spears
6, Beyonce
6, Mariah Carey
6, Maroon 5
6, Bruno Mars
6, Justin Timberlake
https://ppt.cc/rDzi
Miley Cyrus Headed for First Hot 100 No. 1 With 'Wrecking Ball'
By Gary Trust, New York | September 13, 2013 5:47 PM EDT
It looks like Miley Cyrus' "Wrecking Ball" is about to smash its way to the
top of the Billboard Hot 100.
Thanks to expected enormous streaming totals for the song's video, early
indications are that it should dethrone Katy Perry's "Roar," which leads the
list for a second week this week.
If "Ball" blasts to the summit, Cyrus would collect her first Hot 100 No. 1.
She's reached No. 2 with 2009's "Party in the U.S.A." and her previous
single, "We Can't Stop."
PROJECTING STREAMING
According to data provided by YouTube, "Ball" boasts 15.5 million U.S.
YouTube views over its first two days since the clip premiered on Monday
(Sept. 9). Projected over seven days, the streams for the song and video
could total a whopping 30 to 45 million in the U.S., a figure that would
count toward next week's Hot 100.
If numbers develop as projected, "Roar" would register about half or less of
that streaming sum.
This week, "Roar" claimed the Hot 100's top Streaming Gainer award, rising
3-1 on the Streaming Songs chart with a 122% increase to 12 million U.S.
streams, up 33%, according to Nielsen BDS. The song's video premiered on
Sept. 5.
"Ball" rose 27-21 on Streaming Songs this week with 2.2 million U.S. streams,
a total tallied from user-generated videos featuring the song's audio (prior
to the release of the song's official clip) and activity on certain audio
services that contribute to the chart.
PROJECTING SALES
According to industry sources, "Ball" could sell more than 400,000 downloads
for the tracking week ending Sunday (Sept. 15). It sold 116,000 in the
Nielsen SoundScan week ending Sept. 8.
"Roar" is in line to sell 340,000-360,000. This week, it leads Digital Songs
(for a fourth consecutive week) with 373,000, according to SoundScan.
PROJECTING AIRPLAY
While "Ball" looks to sport comfortable leads in streaming and sales, "Roar"
will register significantly more radio action in the Sept. 11-17 BDS tracking
week, data which forms the airplay component for the Hot 100; sales and
streaming are the chart's other two metrics.
Through two days of BDS building data, "Roar" shows 42 million in all-format
audience, second only to Robin Thicke's "Blurred Lines" (featuring T.I. and
Pharrell), which stands at 54 million.
"Ball" ranks just outside the 100 most-played songs in that span, with 4.5
million. Notably, RCA Records just began promoting it to radio this week;
Capitol has been working "Roar" to radio since mid-August.
What do all these numbers mean for next week's Hot 100? Presently, it seems
that Cyrus will score her first No. 1 on the ranking.
Combining the sales projections above and taking building BDS data for
airplay and streaming and projecting chart points over a full week, "Ball"
looks ready to swing its way to a fairly sizable lead over "Roar" and take
over atop next week's chart.
Check Billboard.com on Wednesday (Sept. 18) for all the songs' official
figures and to find out who claims the Hot 100's coveted crown. The refreshed
Hot 100 will appear in full on Billboard.com next Thursday (Sept. 19) and in
next week's issue of Billboard magazine.
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